Tag Archives: fraud accounting

NOBLE Paper for Paper Plan 2

Those who take risks must be exposed to the losses that come from them. The restructure of Noble is an infringement of this principle.

 

  • If the company (that they bankrupted) ‘goes into liquidation’, the management pocketed fees, going away with millions in salaries & bonuses.
  • If the company does not go in liquidation, the failed management and its failed VPs also end up winning a ~15% stake in the reformed entity, are absolved from criminal prosecutions perpetuating the siphoning with the next-to-become-losers…
  • Noble’s 6% Perpetual securities with a principal amount of $400m will be reduced to $25M (a 93,75% haircut) .

The new notes allow Noble to trigger its Perennial Default.

  • “Concurrent with the restructuring, the Existing Perpetual Capital Securities holders will be offered the opportunity to voluntarily exchange the Existing Perpetual Capital Securities into a new US$25 million 2.5% non-accumulative pay-if-you-can perpetual capital security instrument issued by New Noble (“New Perpetual Capital Securities”)

(“New Perpetual Capital Securities”) Non-accumulative ? PIK, pay-if-you-can ?

Current shareholders will get a 10% of the ‘New Noble’ (90% dilution)

http://infopub.sgx.com/FileOpen/New%20No…eID=492729

 

More importantly what is the standard of probity of Noble and its Financial Advisors PTJ Partners, Comprador, Moelis ?

As of Q1-2017, Noble Group (來寶集團) had a frothy $3,4B of marked-to-market fair-value gains on derivatives and commodity contracts.

As we theorized, Noble’s operating loss was created by the mismatch between the level of profits booked on these derivatives and commodity contracts and their underlying expected cash-flows, the real nature of this MtM could be viewed as an expensive liability that Noble (來寶集團) had to carry.

The backbone of Noble Group’s net equity represented future gains (P/L) on commodity contracts, comprising more than 102% of Noble Group’s equity, e.g what Noble Group was margining to get trade loans.

Did Noble even validated how they marked their curves, like against the brokers curves Ginga, Tradition, Sunguard ? Else how did they justified their MtM P/L ?

Noble said yes, but thecnically, no independant third-party has been able to verify the gains on the contracts.

In fact even PwC gave an assurance review, but hasn’t worked directly with the contract, Noble arguing the terms were “highly confidential” and disclosing would hurt its competitvity.

It’s on what Noble borrowed from the Banks HSBC, ING and Deutsche Bank.

Not only this FV on G/L was improperly valued, Noble had also to fund the “ to-arrive equity”.

Predictably it’s what they did.

First they did a ‘discounted’ $500m rights issue, which was said ‘necessary’ to deal with what Noble called a “liquidity crunch” after then creditors and banks reduced their lines.

Then came a $750m 8.750% bond issue sold to the public in March of this year to support the “Fair-value-to-arrive equity”.

Most of Noble (if not all) tangible assets and offtakes have also been sold below the reported BV … and Noble Group, despite all its backstops, has been forced to realize a loss of nearly $4.99B for 2017.

Now finally they had to restructure ?

They are switching entities, leaving current bagholders with claims on an empty shell.

Noble group floats that post restructuring “New Noble” could be listed on the SGX, a wrong, highly uncertain and legally-challenged assertion.

Noble believes the proposed financial restructuring also sets a firm foundation in creating options for future strategic alliances.

What kind of clients or investors will want to seal business deals or only be associated with these characters in the future ?

The Noble Files 贵族档案

Advertisements

Nothing good out of Noble camp

“Salad Dressing”

On Dec 31th 2016, the coal and gas PnL is up by about $500M with no reason, simultaneously the MTM on Commodity Contracts was also up by the tune of $500M ?!

Negative CFO -900M for Q4 told a different story than their P\L that we can only tell.

In the past we have expressed reservations about the uncertainty surrounding the outcome of Nobles Financials as well as the risk that financial losses would continue.

gative CFO -900M for Q4 tells a different story than their P\L that we can only tell.

To us there should be no excuse for non-performance. Its toleration shows the kind of risk management that Noble had.

In commodity trading, the unfolding of the Tradetocash is plainly and simply the bread and butter.

When the firm is questioned, and it’s unclear from the answers they give how they make the bread plus this firm doesnt show the butter : there is a problem and it should be stopped.

“At Astra Oil Trading N.V, “ASTRA” we had to least produce enough steam for $1.6M (to cover our 8 salaries, office overheads and misc expenses…) before making any profit in our pockets. It was the low-hanging food set by the line manager”.

On day one, I was told my raison d’être: we hire and pay you specifically for one reason, protect the cheese“.

Until December 31th, at 15 to Midnight it was like skating on the thin ice over a lake“.

A First class Operator in Conmodity Trading.

Via http://wp.me/p3k7lL-62i